Ontario’s science table set to release new COVID-19 projections today

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Published September 28, 2021 at 6:59 am

Dr. Kieran Moore
Dr. Kieran Moore, the Chief Medical Officer of Health of Ontario, walks through Queen's Park before an announcement, in Toronto, Tuesday, Sept. 14, 2021. Starting today, patrons at dine-in restaurants, nightclubs, gyms, sports facilities and other venues in Ontario must present a receipt of full vaccination along with government identification as the province's new COVID-19 vaccine certificate system goes into effect. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Chris Young

Ontario’s science advisory table is set to release new COVID-19 projections today.

The new modelling is set to be posted online about an hour before Ontario’s chief medical officer of health holds his weekly briefing.

Ontario’s daily case counts have so far remained under 1,000 during the fourth wave, and the graph of Ontario’s seven-day average roughly shows a plateau since the beginning of September.

That’s well under the worst-case scenario in Ontario’s previous modelling, which showed about 4,000 daily cases by now.

Reality is more in line with the best-case scenario, in which cases would have steadily fallen since Sept. 1.

On Monday, Ontario reported 613 new COVID-19 cases and no new deaths.

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