Cost of buying a home expected to continue to drop in 2023 in Oakville, Burlington, Milton


Published November 30, 2022 at 4:24 pm


A major real estate company is forecasting home prices will continue to drop in Burlington, Oakville, Milton, Halton Hills and across the country.

Amid rising interest rates, and a looming recession, RE/MAX Canada is anticipating a modest decline of 3.3 per cent in average residential sales prices across the country in 2023.

In sharp contrast to 2022, most regions analyzed in the report will experience more balanced conditions in 2023 – a trend that’s already starting to materialize in many regions as a result of current economic conditions.

“It’s good to see the majority of markets moving toward more balanced conditions, which is typically defined by 45 to 90 days on market. This is a much-needed adjustment from the unsustainable price increases and demand we saw early in 2022,” said Christopher Alexander, president of Re/Max Canada.

“Many Canadians have understandably expressed hesitancy about engaging in the real estate market early in 2023, in the wake of rising interest rates and broader economic uncertainties. As we head into the new year, it’s important that governments work collaboratively to support housing affordability and address the supply challenges that Canadians continue to face, in order to make home ownership feasible for those who want it.”

The Greater Toronto Area is currently a balanced market – a condition that is anticipated to continue into 2023. Move-up and move-over buyers have been driving demand in the region in 2022, in a trend that is expected to carry on in the next year.

Meanwhile, new construction projects are being delayed as a result of the widening gap between market prices and construction costs, including the impact that higher interest rates have had on financing these projects.

“Continued interest rate increases and associated price adjustments, rising unemployment due to an economic slowdown, and new opportunities to engage in the market for buyers and sellers because of improved affordability,” are the three main trends that will drive home prices down in the GTA, according to Cameron Forbes, Re/Max broker.

“For buyers, this includes having fewer competitors, reduced prices and an increase in choices in the market. Meanwhile, sellers will have a trade-up advantage, reduced competition of listings, a stronger ability to re-locate to the suburbs, and have all of the advantages that buyers do, too.”

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